Answer:
Bayes rule tells us the probability of something (A) given that we know something else happened (B):

For example, I ask what is the probability that I am so lucky to exist on this microscopic paradise (A) given that I know I exist on this rare planet (B).
P("Lucky"|"Know") = P("Lucky" && "Know")/P("Know")
But since everyone who was lucky enough to live on Earth knows they exist,
P("Lucky" && "Know") = P("Know")
=> P("Lucky"|"Know") = P("Know")/P("Know") = 1
So as long as you're conscious to know that you have been blessed to live against all odds, it's a trivial conclusion.
Cool Idea. I hate to say it but shouldn't it be
ReplyDeleteP("Lucky" && "Know") = P("Lucky")
=>
P("Lucky"|"Know") = P("Lucky")